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Trump Layoffs: Federal Agency Job Cuts Loom; Recession Fears

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Federal Agencies Brace for Mass Layoff Announcements Amidst Economic Uncertainty

Washington D.C. – Federal agencies and departments are poised to submit their finalized plans for significant workforce reductions to the Trump administration today, marking a pivotal moment in the administration’s push to streamline government operations. The details of these plans, including the number of employees slated for termination, are anticipated to gradually emerge throughout the day, creating a climate of anxiety and uncertainty within the federal workforce.

The impending layoff announcements coincide with a critical juncture in Congress, where Republican lawmakers are grappling with the challenge of securing government funding to avert a potential shutdown by Friday. This fiscal standoff adds another layer of complexity to the already tense atmosphere surrounding the planned workforce reductions.

Adding to the economic unease, President Donald Trump has recently escalated trade tensions with key U.S. allies, including Canada and the European Union, by imposing a series of tariffs. These actions have prompted retaliatory measures from these nations, creating a cycle of escalating tariffs that has triggered volatility in U.S. stock markets and raised concerns about a potential economic recession.

The Trump administration’s initiative to reduce the size of the federal workforce has been spearheaded by billionaire Elon Musk and his team of aides from the Department of Government Efficiency. Their efforts have already resulted in the elimination of over 100,000 federal jobs in the past two months, primarily through the layoff of probationary employees. These employees are typically those who are new to government service, have recently transferred between agencies, or have accepted promotions.

In addition to the layoffs of probationary employees, approximately 75,000 federal employees accepted a voluntary buyout offer extended by President Trump shortly after assuming office. These buyouts provided employees with financial incentives to voluntarily leave their positions, contributing to the overall reduction in the size of the federal workforce.

The precise number of federal employees who could lose their jobs under the new layoff plans, officially referred to as a "reduction in force" or RIF, remains unclear. However, the memo instructing agencies to develop these plans explicitly called for a "significant reduction" in personnel. Agencies have the flexibility to achieve these reductions through various means, including layoffs, attrition (i.e., not filling positions vacated through retirement or resignation), removal of underperforming employees, or renegotiation of collective bargaining agreements with labor unions.

The White House has thus far refrained from providing specific details regarding when the public will have access to the reduction in force plans, which are due to the Office of Personnel Management today. However, it is widely anticipated that the target numbers for layoffs in each agency, and potentially even specific locations, will leak out in the coming days and weeks as employees become aware of the plans.

It is important to note that the layoffs do not necessarily have to occur today. There is no specific deadline by which agencies must notify affected employees that their positions will be terminated within a timeframe of 30 or 60 days. This lack of a firm deadline adds to the uncertainty and anxiety among federal employees.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt addressed reporters on Wednesday, stating that details on the terminations would be released after today’s deadline. "This is a goal that every Cabinet secretary across the board agrees with," Leavitt said. "We have to reduce our workforce. We have to make our bureaucracy more efficient. And then, when the March 13 deadline hits, we can talk about that then."

The initial stages of these workforce reduction plans have already been implemented in several agencies. Approximately half of the employees at the Department of Education were laid off yesterday. Similarly, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers began notifying 1,068 civilian employees yesterday that they were eligible for a buyout. Earlier this week, USA TODAY reported that the Department of Veterans Affairs was planning to lay off approximately 16% of its workforce, or about 76,000 employees. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is also laying off more than 1,000 people, representing approximately 20% of its staff. NASA informed employees on Monday that it would be closing three offices, including the office of the chief scientist.

While the Trump administration’s efforts to downsize the government have primarily focused on federal workers, it is worth noting that the size of the federal workforce has remained relatively stable since the late 1960s, when there were approximately 2 million federal employees, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The government has consistently employed between 1.8 and 2.4 million people over the past six decades. During the same period, the U.S. population has grown by nearly 40 percent, from 203 million in 1970 to 331 million in 2020.

Federal employees are located across all 50 states, with only about 15% residing in Washington, D.C., and the surrounding area. The layoffs of probationary employees have already sparked protests across the country, including at national parks, as concerns about job security and the potential impact on government services mount.

The events unfolding today represent a significant shift in the landscape of the federal workforce and are likely to have far-reaching implications for government operations and the lives of federal employees across the nation. The coming weeks will be critical in determining the full scope of the workforce reductions and their impact on the delivery of essential government services.

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