The G20 and the Future of Multilateralism

Despite the noticeable absence of the United States, the South African presidency of the G20 has endeavored to uphold the value of multilateralism. This stance is supported by numerous nations, emphasizing that the forum remains essential for global collaboration.

South Africa’s Agenda

As the first African nation to hold the G20 presidency, South Africa has embraced the opportunity to prioritize the concerns of the continent and developing countries. Their agenda, summarized by the principles of "solidarity, equality, and sustainability," has been met with some skepticism from the United States.

US Absenteeism and its Implications

Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed his disdain for the G20’s focus on diversity, equity, and climate change, dismissing them as "woke" and "anti-American." Consequently, he opted not to attend the summit. This move has raised concerns about the forum’s effectiveness, as the United States’ withdrawal could undermine its global reach and significance.

The absence of the US Treasury Secretary from the meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors could also hinder the forum’s ability to implement meaningful economic measures. Nonetheless, South Africa remains optimistic, underscoring the G20’s continued relevance and determination to address global issues.

Multilateralism Reasserted

Despite the United States’ withdrawal, several major powers, including China, Russia, India, the European Union, and Saudi Arabia, have expressed their support for the South African G20. The high level of ministerial participation sends a message of dwindling US interest in global affairs, which some argue could leave a vacuum that other nations will fill.

Redefining Alliances and World Order

Frustrated with the United States’ unilateralism, European nations have sought to forge new alliances and partnerships beyond the West. Bilateral meetings with countries such as Mexico, Nigeria, and India at the G20 indicate a shift towards a more diverse and inclusive multilateralism.

Former US diplomat Brooks Spector believes that the pursuit of narrow self-interests by the United States may lead to isolation: "Americans cannot make decisions that obliterate the reality of the world and its problems." He emphasizes the need for Europe to find ways to engage with the United States on critical issues.

The Future of US-G20 Relations

The question remains whether the United States’ disengagement from the G20 will be sustained. While the country is scheduled to assume the presidency in 2026, it is unclear whether President Trump will attend the summit meeting in November 2026. Spector believes that Trump will likely seize the opportunity for the spotlight during the handover.

Conclusion

The G20, although weakened by the apparent withdrawal of the United States, remains a valuable platform for dialogue between the "Global South" and the "Global North." It provides a space for addressing critical global issues and fostering collaboration. As the world undergoes a period of geopolitical realignment, the future of the G20 and the role of the United States within it remain uncertain.