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Afghan Evacuation Debacle: Missed Warnings, Slow Response by German Government

Afghanistan Evacuation, German Bundestag Investigation, Taliban Takeover, Doha Agreement, Chaotic Evacuation, Slow Government Responses, Wunschdenken, Lack of Decision-Making, Inefficient Bureaucracy, Diplomatic Correspondence, Emily Haber

German Bundestag Inquiry on Afghanistan Evacuation: A Damning Assessment

Executive Summary

The Bundestag’s Inquiry Committee on the chaotic evacuation from Afghanistan has concluded that bureaucratic delays and a lack of political resolve contributed to the Bundeswehr’s (German Armed Forces) failure to act effectively in the weeks leading up to the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul.

Background: Doha Agreement and US Withdrawal Timeline

  • The Doha Agreement, signed between the US government and the Taliban in February 2020, provided for the withdrawal of foreign troops from Afghanistan by 2021.
  • The German government was not involved in the negotiations leading to the Doha Agreement.
  • The agreement effectively made the Taliban a "government in waiting," according to Inquiry Committee Chairman Ralf Stegner (SPD).

German Evacuation Efforts and Chaotic Conditions

  • The Bundeswehr withdrew from Afghanistan in June 2021, ahead of schedule, following US timelines.
  • After the Taliban seized Kabul in a lightning offensive on August 15, 2021, Germany became involved in an international military evacuation mission.
  • The evacuation was marked by chaos and dangerous conditions around Kabul’s airport.

Criticism of Government’s Handling

Political Failures:

  • The Free Democratic Party (FDP) and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) accused the government – led by Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) and Foreign Minister Heiko Maas (SPD) – of wishful thinking.
  • Members of parliament criticized the lack of binding decisions resulting from regular meetings between state secretaries from various ministries.

Bureaucratic Delays:

  • Ann-Veruschka Jurisch (FDP) cited the delayed handling of a confidential diplomatic cable sent by German Ambassador Emily Haber in Washington on August 6, 2021, as an example of sluggish bureaucratic action.
  • Haber warned of a possible Taliban takeover and urged preparations for a possible crisis.
  • The cable was received by the Foreign Office on August 6, but only evaluated in the Defense Ministry on August 9.
  • The Federal Intelligence Service (BND) also did not review the information until Monday, August 9.
  • Jurisch highlighted the need for urgent analysis and evaluation of security-related events, even during weekends.

General Conclusions

The Inquiry Committee’s findings indicate a lack of:

  • Political foresight and willingness to act.
  • Effective coordination between government departments.
  • Timely response to warnings of a deteriorating situation.

These failures resulted in a chaotic and ineffective German evacuation mission, leaving many Afghans behind.

Potential Consequences

The Inquiry Committee’s report may have significant political and legal implications, including:

  • Loss of confidence in the government’s handling of foreign policy and security matters.
  • Calls for the resignation of government officials.
  • Investigations into specific bureaucratic delays and potential negligence.
  • Reforms to improve crisis management and inter-departmental coordination.
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